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Supply Chain · Grocery · Home Improvement

Weather Pre-Position

Heatwave or storm inbound. Pre-positions sensitive stock by store.

Target KPI Sell-through
Executes in ≤ 6 hours
System of record Relex · NOAA feed
Run this on your data → How the loop closes
Trigger condition

A forecast event crosses the threshold that historically moved weather-sensitive categories by more than 20% in the affected trade areas, with enough lead time to act.

Write-back

Temporary demand uplift written to the Relex forecast per store-SKU; expedited replenishment released.

Every write is gated on an approver role you name. Nothing runs unattended.

Procedure
  1. Match the forecast to the categories and stores that historically responded, rather than to the whole region.
  2. Size the uplift per store-SKU from prior comparable events, discounted for forecast confidence.
  3. Check the DC can actually serve it in the window; where it cannot, propose the transfer instead.
  4. Open a case to the regional supply lead, gated on approval, with the order cut-off time stated.
  5. Close after the event when realised sell-through is compared to the pre-positioned quantity.
Outcome metric

Incremental sell-through during the event window against unaffected control stores, net of any post-event overstock.

The case closes on this number, not on the action being taken. A playbook without a close condition is a dashboard.

The rest of Supply Chain

Stockout Escalation Zero on hand forecast inside 48 hours. Raises the replenishment. On-shelf availability Replenishment Cadence Tune Cycle out of step with velocity. Retunes cadence per store-SKU. On-shelf availability Supplier OTIF Watch Supplier slipping on OTIF. Flags the breach against the penalty clause. Fill rate Cross-Store Transfer Overstock here, stockout there. Proposes the transfer before markdown. Sell-through Cycle Count Prioritization Inventory record drifting. Prioritizes the counts worth the labor. Inventory accuracy

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